As the November US presidential election draws closer, many equity investors have asked for our views on how the election results could determine the US. Why the next American president is not Donald Trump. The duel between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in the last presidential election ended with a very. Presidential elections were held in Austria on 24 April , with a second round run-off on 22 May However, the results of the second round were.
2020 U.S. ELECTION: What you need to know right nowAs the November US presidential election draws closer, many equity investors have asked for our views on how the election results could determine the US. China's harshest critics and may seek to build a future presidential campaign around this The U.S. election - a new dawn for multilateral arms control? Presidential elections were held in Austria on 24 April , with a second round run-off on 22 May However, the results of the second round were.
Next Us Election House of Representatives VideoThe next U.S. president: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
NE-2 Nebraska District 2 1 delegates. MI Michigan 16 delegates. WI Wisconsin 10 delegates. PA Pennsylvania 20 delegates. No states have been won by Donald Trump that Hillary Clinton won in Share on Twitter.
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Swing the Election What would it take for Biden to win in red states? And Trump in blue? Turn the electoral map upside down.
Hunter Biden, president-elect's son, says federal prosecutors probing his taxes. Senate bid to block UAE arms sales falls short.
Supreme Court. Georgia county adds voting locations to already reduced amount for Senate runoffs. Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar dropped out of the race and endorsed him.
Biden went on to have an impressive Super Tuesday , becoming the prohibitive favorite for the Democrats. On the Republican side, Donald Trump never faced a real challenger.
However, thanks to a number of factors COVID, economy, racial unrest , Trump for the first time ever is an underdog for re-election.
But after the House voted to impeach President Trump on Dec. The impeachment itself has rallied and activated his base , which is common going back to Bill Clinton in Unemployment was low.
The Democrats had no consensus candidate to rally around. To that point, it was an unusual Democratic primary season early on.
Polling favorite Elizabeth Warren emerged as the top challenger to Trump, surging past Biden during the summer of Then after strong and ultimately prescient polling in Iowa , it was Pete Buttigieg.
After Iowa, it was Buttigieg again. After New Hampshire and Nevada, it was Sanders. However, after South Carolina it is Biden who took charge.
He began cleaning up state after state, surging to the lead. Howie Hawkins became the presumptive nominee of the Green Party on June 21, , and was officially nominated by the party on July 11, Various other minor party and independent candidates were on the ballot in several states, among them activist and writer Gloria La Riva ,  businessman and perennial candidate Rocky De La Fuente ,  coal executive Don Blankenship ,  entrepreneur Brock Pierce ,  rapper Kanye West ,  and educator Brian Carroll.
Originally, a three-day convention was planned to be held in North Carolina, but due to North Carolina's insistence that the convention follow COVID social distancing rules, the speeches and celebrations were moved to Jacksonville, Florida official convention business was still contractually obligated to be conducted in Charlotte.
The House of Representatives voted to impeach Trump on two counts on December 18, This is the second time a president has been impeached during his first term while running for a second term.
Several events related to the presidential election were altered or postponed due to the ongoing COVID pandemic in the country and its effects such as the stay-at-home order and social distancing guidelines by local governments.
On March 10, following primary elections in six states, Democratic candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders cancelled planned campaign night events and further in-person campaigning and campaign rallies.
Political analysts speculated at the time that the moratorium on traditional campaigning coupled with the effects of the pandemic on the nation could have unpredictable effects on the voting populace and possibly, how the election will be conducted.
Some presidential primary elections were severely disrupted by COVIDrelated issues, including long lines at polling places, greatly increased requests for absentee ballots, and technology issues.
Most states expanded or encouraged voting by mail as an alternative, but many voters complained that they never received the absentee ballots they had requested.
By May, Trump and his campaign strongly opposed mail-in voting, claiming that it would cause widespread voter fraud, a belief which has been debunked by a number of media organizations.
As a result, the elections, which included a presidential primary, went ahead on April 7 as planned.
Voting-rights advocates expressed fear of similar chaos on a nationwide scale in November, recommending states to move to expand vote-by-mail options.
Both the president and first lady immediately entered quarantine, which prevented Trump from further campaigning, notably at campaign rallies.
This led to the concern that Biden may have contracted the virus from Trump; however, Biden tested negative. Trump being diagnosed with COVID was widely seen as having a negative effect on his campaign and shifted the attention of the public back onto COVID, an issue which is generally seen as a liability for Trump, due to his response to the COVID pandemic suffering from low approval ratings.
His rallies have been criticized for their lack of social distancing or mask wearing, and some polls suggest that voters see him less favorably for potentially endangering attendees.
On February 13, , American intelligence officials advised members of the House Intelligence Committee that Russia was interfering in the election in an effort to get Trump re-elected.
Sanders issued a statement after the news report, saying in part, "I don't care, frankly, who Putin wants to be president.
My message to Putin is clear: stay out of American elections, and as president, I will make sure that you do. On October 21, threatening emails were sent to Democrats in at least four states.
The emails warned that "You will vote for Trump on Election Day or we will come after you. He added that both Iran and Russia are known to have obtained American voter registration data, possibly from publicly available information, and that "This data can be used by foreign actors to attempt to communicate false information to registered voters that they hope will cause confusion, sow chaos and undermine your confidence in American democracy.
It was later reported that the reference to Trump had not been in Ratcliffe's prepared remarks as signed off by the other officials on the stage, but that he added it on his own.
Throughout the election period, several Colombian lawmakers and the Colombian ambassador to the United States issued statements supporting the Donald Trump campaign, which has been viewed as potentially harmful to Colombia—United States relations.
Ambassador to Colombia, Philip Goldberg , requested that Colombian politicians abstain from getting involved in the elections. Government officials and American corporate security officers braced for a repeat of 's election infrastructure hacking and similar twenty-first century attacks , and in fact conducted what were characterized as pre-emptive counter-strikes on botnet infrastructure which might be used in large-scale coordination of hacking,  and some incidents earlier in the year appeared to foreshadow such possibilities.
It was quiet. There was no indication or evidence that there was any sort of hacking or compromise of election systems on, before, or after November third.
Responding to spurious claims of foreign outsourcing of vote counting as a rationale behind litigation attempting to stop official vote counting in some areas, Krebs also affirmed that, "All votes in the United States of America are counted in the United States of America.
However, acts of foreign interference did include Russian state-directed application of computational propaganda approaches, more conventional state-sponsored Internet propaganda , smaller-scale disinformation efforts , " information laundering " and " trading up the chain " propaganda tactics employing some government officials, Trump affiliates, and US media outlets.
During the campaign, Trump indicated in Twitter posts , interviews, and speeches that he might refuse to recognize the outcome of the election if he was defeated; Trump falsely suggested that the election would be rigged against him.
No, I'm not going to just say yes. I'm not going to say no. Get rid of the ballots and you'll have a very peaceful — there won't be a transfer, frankly.
There will be a continuation. Wray , who was appointed by Trump, testified under oath that the FBI has "not seen, historically, any kind of coordinated national voter fraud effort in a major election, whether it's by mail or otherwise.
A number of congressional Republicans insisted they were committed to an orderly and peaceful transition of power, but declined to criticize Trump for his comments.
In April , Biden suggested that Trump may try to delay the election, saying that Trump "is gonna try to kick back the election somehow, come up with some rationale why it can't be held".
Experts have indicated that, for the election to be legally delayed, such a decision must be undertaken by Congress.
By June , the COVID pandemic was predicted to cause a large increase in mail voting because of the possible danger of congregating at polling places.
He said he would reinstate overtime hours, roll back service reductions, and halt the removal of mail-sorting machines and collection boxes.
The Trump campaign filed lawsuits seeking to block the use of official ballot dropboxes in Pennsylvania in locations other than an election office, and also sought to "block election officials from counting mail-in ballots if a voter forgets to put their mail-in ballot in a secrecy sleeve within the ballot return-envelope.
On Election Day a judge ordered mail inspectors to search "mail facilities in The Federal Election Commission , which was created in to enforce campaign finance laws in federal elections, has not functioned since July due to vacancies in membership.
In the absence of a quorum, the commission cannot vote on complaints or give guidance through advisory opinions. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell immediately stated that the precedent he set regarding the Merrick Garland nomination was inoperative and that a replacement would be voted on as soon as possible, setting the stage for a confirmation battle and an unexpected intrusion into the campaign.
Wade , on the legality of abortion. By September , several hundred legal cases relating to the election had been filed.
On October 11, , the Commission on Presidential Debates CPD announced that three general election debates would be held in the fall of One exchange that was particularly noted was when Trump did not directly denounce the white supremacist and neo-fascist group Proud Boys , which explicitly engages in political violence , instead responding that they should "stand back and stand by".
However, Trump refused to participate in a virtual debate, and the commission subsequently announced that the debate had been cancelled. The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September to present.
Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March to the election, with the election results for comparison.
The president spread mixed messages on the value of wearing face masks as protection, including criticizing Biden and reporters for wearing them, but has also encouraged their use at times.
Biden advocated for expansion of federal funding, including funding under the Defense Production Act for testing, personal protective equipment, and research.
Trump claimed credit for the consistent economic expansion of his presidency's first three years, with the stock market at its longest growth period in history, and unemployment at a fifty-year low.
Additionally, he has touted the third quarter rebound, in which GDP grew at an annualized rate of Biden and the Democrats generally describe these cuts as unfairly benefiting the upper class.
In response, Trump said Biden's plans will destroy retirement accounts and the stock market. Trump and Biden's views on environmental policy differ significantly.
Trump has stated at times that climate change is a hoax, although he has also called it a serious subject. However, Biden has not fully accepted the Green New Deal.
Biden does not plan to ban fracking , but rather to outlaw new fracking on federal land. However, in a debate, Trump claimed that Biden wanted to ban it altogether.
Trump's other environmental policies have included the removal of methane emission standards, and an expansion of mining.
Health care was a divisive issue in both the Democratic primary campaign and the general campaign. While Biden, as well as other candidates, promised protection of the Affordable Care Act , progressives within the Democratic Party advocated to replace the private insurance industry with Medicare for All.
Biden's plan involves adding a public option to the American healthcare system,  and the restoration of the individual mandate to buy health care which was removed from the Affordable Care Act by the tax cut bill,  as well as restoring funding for Planned Parenthood.
Trump announced plans to repeal the Affordable Care Act, calling it "too expensive", but has not said what would replace it.
As a result of the killing of George Floyd and other incidents of police brutality against African Americans, combined with the effects of the COVID pandemic, a series of protests and a wider period of racial unrest erupted in mid Trump and the Republicans have suggested sending in the military to counter the protests, which was criticized, especially by Democrats, as heavy-handed and potentially illegal.
John's Church in Washington D. He also promised he would create a police oversight commission in his first days as president, and establish a uniform use of force standard, as well as other police reform measures.
Biden carried 25 states plus the District of Columbia and one congressional district in Nebraska, totaling electoral votes.
Trump carried 25 states plus one congressional district in Maine, totaling electoral votes. That result is the exact opposite of Trump's to win in This was attributed to increasing political polarization throughout the country.
More than million votes were cast in the election. Election night, November 3, ended without a clear winner, as many state results were too close to call and millions of votes remained uncounted, including in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
In a victory declared after midnight, Trump won the swing state of Florida by three percentage points, an increase from his 1.
EST, Biden made a short speech in which he urged his supporters to be patient while the votes are counted, and said he believed he was "on track to win this election".
EST, Trump made a speech to a roomful of supporters, falsely asserting that he had won the election and calling for a stop to all vote counting, saying that continued counting was "a fraud on the American people" and that "we will be going to the U.
Supreme Court. In Pennsylvania, where the counting of mail-in ballots began on election night, Trump declared victory on November 4 with a lead of , votes, despite more than a million ballots remaining uncounted.
Trump also declared victory in North Carolina and Georgia, despite many ballots being uncounted. EST on November 4;   however, several other media outlets concluded the state was too close to call.